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26 个结果
  • 简介:Rèsumèonnewmonograph“AdvanceinMathematicalSeismology”edit┐edbyJunjiKoyama&FengDeyiThenewmonograph“AdvanceinMathematicalSeismo...

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  • 简介:ResearchonnonlinearR/SmethodanditspplicationinearthquakepredictionBi-QuanWANG(王碧泉);Han-MingHUANG(黄汉明);Hong-ShunFAN(范洪顺);Chuen...

  • 标签: NONLINEAR theory FRACTAL DIMENSION EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
  • 简介:ThebvaluespectrumandηvaluebythemomentmethodToruOuchi(大内)DepartmentofEarthSciences,FacultyofScience,KobeUniversity,Kobe,657,...

  • 标签: b VALUE SPECTRUM MOMENT METHOD η
  • 简介:过去常在在当前的地震代码采用的基于力量的设计过程决定力量减小因素的最重要的参数是结构的韧性。为在一个灵活基础上支持的结构,韧性因素能被基础依从影响。在当前的代码给的韧性因素主要被分配忽略这研究的目的是在像栈的结构的韧性因素上估计SSI现象的意义的SSI并且因此的效果。像栈的结构的使变形的配置就非线性的时刻弯曲关系而言作为横梁元素的一个集合被理想化,当一个线性摇摇摆的模型被实现为支持的土壤建模时。用一套人工的记录,重复了线性、非线性的分析被逐渐地在非线性的分析增加加速的紧张到首先在线性、非线性的分析钢让步被观察的水平和相应于栈倒塌的水平执行。无弹性、有弹性的电阻之间的差别以排水量韧性因素被确定了。结果显示基础灵活性能减少系统的韧性并且忽视这现象可以在灵活地支持的R/C像栈的结构的地震表演的预言导致错误的结论。

  • 标签: 延展性 结构 基础 堆栈 活性 非线性分析
  • 简介:CalculationofbvalueanditsapplicationinearthquakepredictionHua-ChenDUAN(段华琛);Chang-QingFAN(范长青)andYue-MinXU(许跃敏)(Seismological...

  • 标签: b VALUE standardizing time DENSITY FACTOR
  • 简介:Ingeneral,earthquakecyclerelatedtoearthquakefaultingcouldincludefourmajorprocesseswhichcouldbedescribedby(1)faultlocking,(2)self-accelerationornucleation(possibleforeshocks),(3)coseismicslip,and(4)post-stressrelaxationandafterslip.Asuddenstaticstresschange/perturbationinthesurroundingcrustcanadvance/delaythefaultinstabilityorfailuretimeandmodifyearthquakerates.Basedonasimpleone-dimensionalspring-sliderblockmodelwiththecombinationofrate-and-statedependentfrictionrelation,inthisstudy,wehaveapproximatelyderivedthesimpleanalyticalsolutionsofclockadvance/delayoffaultfailurescausedbyasuddenstaticCoulombstresschangeappliedinthedifferenttemporalevolutionperiodsduringanearthquakefaulting.Theresultshavebeenusedinthephysics-basedexplanationofdelayedcharacteristicearthquakeinParkfieldregion,California,inwhichthenextcharacteristicearthquakeofM6.0after1966occurredin2004insteadofaround1988accordingtoitscharacteristicreturnperiodof22years.Atthesametime,theanalyticalsolutionsalsoindicatethatthetimeadvance/delayinCoulombstresschangederivedbythedislocationmodelhasacertainlimitationandfundamentalflaw.Furthermore,wediscussedtheessentialdifferencebetweenrate-andstate-variableconstitutive(R–S)modelandCoulombstressmodelusedcommonlyincurrentearthquaketriggeringstudy,anddemonstratedthat,infact,theCoulombstressmodelcouldbeinvolvedintheR–Smodel.Theresults,wehaveobtainedinthisstudy,couldbeusedinthedevelopmentoftime-dependentfaultinteractionmodelandtheprobabilitycalculationrelatedtothetime-dependentandrenewalearthquakepredictionmodel.

  • 标签: 时间变化 故障锁定 RS 静应力 地震断层 时间依赖性
  • 简介:Intheestimationofseismictendency,usingGutenberg-Richter¢sb-valueandusingHurstexponentaretwocom-monlyusedmethods.Basedonthefractalgeometryofearthquaketimeseries,wepointoutthatthesetwomethodscorrelatetoeachother.IntheperspectiveoffractionalBrownianmotion(FBM),anearthquakesequencewithb>3/4andthatwithb<3/4havedifferentdynamicproperties.

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  • 简介:本文讨论可信的历史地震资料和现代化仪器记录资料的统一使用问题。

  • 标签: 历史地震 检验 b值统计
  • 简介:Basedonisotropiclinearporoelastictheoryandundertheundrainedcondition,wesummarizethreeequationsconnectingtheSkempton’scoefficientBwiththegroundwaterlevel.Afteranalysis,weproposeamethodtocalculatetheSkempton’scoefficientBaccordingtotherelationshipbetweenwaterlevelandtidalstrain.WiththismethodwecangetthevalueofBwithouttheearthquakeoccurrence,whichcanprovidethehighfrequencywavesforresearch.Besides,wecanalsogetthein-suitSkempton’scoefficientBwithouttheexperimentofrockphysics.Inaddition,weanalyzetheobserveddataofChangpingstationrecordedingroundwatermonitoringnetwork(abv.,GMN)beforeandaftertheWenchuanMS8.0withthismethod,andfindoutthere’saslightchangeofthevalueofBaftertheseismicwavespassedby,whichimpliesthatthepropagationofseismicwavesmayhavebroughtsomevariationstotheporoelasticmediumofthewell.

  • 标签: 地下水状况 观测站 基础 岩石物理实验 地震波 排水条件
  • 简介:Inthisstudy,weadoptanimprovedBayesianapproachbasedonfree-knotB-splinebasestostudythespatialandtemporaldistributionoftheb-value.SynthetictestsshowthattheimprovedBayesianapproachhasasuperiorperformancecomparedtotheBayesianapproachaswellasthewidelyusedmaximumlikelihoodestimation(MLE)methodinfittingtherealvariationofb-values.WethenapplytheimprovedBayesianapproachtoNorthChinaandfindthattheb-valuehasaclearrelevancetoseismicity.Temporalchangesofb-valuesarealsoinvestigatedintwospecificareasofNorthChina.Weinterpretsharpdecreasesintheb-valuesasusefulmessagesinearthquakehazardanalysis.

  • 标签: 中国北方 B值 构造意义 时空变化 地震危险性分析 贝叶斯方法
  • 简介:TheeffectsofmagnituderoundingandofthepresenceofnoiseintheroundedmagnitudesontheestimationoftheGutenberg–Richterb-valueareexplored,andthewaystocorrectfortheseeffectsareproposed.Fortypicalvalues,b=1androundingintervalDM=0.1,theroundingerrorisapproximately-10-3anditcanbecorrectedtoanegligibleapproximately-10-5.Forthesametypicalvalues,theeffectofnoisecanbelarger,dependingonthecharacteristicsofthenoisedistribution;fornormallydistributednoisewithstandarddeviationr=0.1,thecorrectb-valuemaybeunderestimatedbyafactor*0.97.

  • 标签: 噪声分布 四舍五入 B值 校正 舍入误差 正态分布
  • 简介:在现有的日常地震演练过程中,与应急救援密切相关的地震余震信息产品较为缺乏,直接影响发震构造的判断以及影响场修正等关键环节。本文从计算机系统提供的均匀分布随机数出发,运用反函数法模拟生成余震序列,并进行系统检验,证实该方法产生的余震序列满足G-R频次关系。模拟生成的余震震级数据既有助于增强地震应急救援演练的现实性,也有助于丰富地震应急宣传产品,提升地震部门的履职能力。

  • 标签: 地震序列 G-R关系 余震震级模拟 反函数法 随机数
  • 简介:AmodelofseismicitywithfractalstructuresandapreliminarydiscussionontherelatiobetweenDandbvalueHat-KunJIANG(蒋海昆)andShou-ZhongDI...

  • 标签: 守中
  • 简介:CumulativefrequencybvaluewithoutupperboundmagnitudeanditsregressiondeterminationJian-WenSHEN(沈建文)(SeismologicalBureauofAnhuiP...

  • 标签: b VALUE earthquake RECURRENCE relation seismic
  • 简介:本文通过对华北地区和西南地区完整地震目录按照均匀抽取和非均匀抽取2种原则进行抽取地震,得到了地震目录遗漏率和b值变化量间的经验关系式。结果表明,在进行非均匀抽取地震时,得到的地震目录遗漏率和b值的减小量间呈正比关系;在进行均匀抽取地震时,利用最小二乘法和极大似然法计算得到的b值变化较复杂,b值随地震目录遗漏率的增加,或为增加,或为减少。同时,在进行非均匀抽取地震时,地震目录遗漏率对极大似然法计算的b值影响大于最小二乘法计算的b值影响。

  • 标签: 完整性 B值 遗漏率
  • 简介:TheTanlu(Tancheng-Lujiang)faultisoneofthemajorstructuresineasternChina,whichcutsacrossdifferentblocksandcontrolsthetectonicactivity.UsingtheseismicdatafromtheChinaEarthquakeNetworksCenter,weinvestigatethespatialvariationsoftheb-valueintheDabie-Sulu(Jiangsu-Shandong)organicbeltbycalculatingtheb-valueofeachgrid(1°×1°)from1970to2010.Thestudyshowsthat:theb-valueissmallerintheTanlufaultanditsadjacentarea,whichmightsuggestthatthemajorearthquakerecurrenceperiodisrelativelylongduetothelowerfrequencyofsmallearthquakeactivity.InbothsidesofTanlufault,theb-valueishigherattheedgeofSulublockandtheeasternpartofDabieorogenicbelt.ThebvaluesarehigherinNorthChinacentralorogenicbelt,andsmallearthquakeactivitywhichoccurredalongthecentralorogenicbeltisfrequent.Additionally,combinedwithgeologicalandgeophysicalstudy,wefindthattheb-valuehasacertaincorrespondencerelationshipwiththelithologicdistribution,whichinformsusthatseismicactivityfeaturesarecloselyrelatedtotheinhomogeneousmediainthecrust.

  • 标签: 空间分布特征 B值 邻近地区 大别山 郯庐断裂带 大别造山带
  • 简介:SeismicityoftheEarth(MC4.5)wascompiledfromNEIC,IRISandISCcataloguesandusedtocomputeb-valuebasedonvarioustimewindows.Itisfoundthatcontinuouscyclicb-variationsoccuronbothlongandshorttimescales,thelatterbeingofmuchhighervalueandsometimesinexcessof0.7oftheabsoluteb-value.Thesevariationsoccurnotonlyyearlyormonthly,butalsodaily.Beforetheoccurrenceoflargeearthquakes,b-valuesstartincreasingwithvariablegradientsthatareaffectedbyforeshocks.Insomecases,thegradientisreducedtozeroortoanegativevalueafewdaysbeforetheearthquakeoccurrence.Ingeneral,calculatedb-valuesattainmaxima1daybeforelargeearthquakesandminimasoonaftertheiroccurrence.Bothlinearregressionandmaximumlikelihoodmethodsgivecorrelatable,butvariableresults.Itisfoundthatanexpandingtimewindowtechniquefromafixedstartingpointismoreeffectiveinthestudyofb-variations.Thecalculatedb-variationsforthewholeEarth,itshemispheres,quadrantsandtheepicentralregionsofsomelargeearthquakesareofbothlocalandregionalcharacter,whichmayindicatethatinsuchcases,thegeodynamicprocessesactingwithinacertainregionhaveamuchregionaleffectwithintheEarth.Theb-variationshavelongbeenknowntovarywithanumberoflocalandregionalfactorsincludingtectonicstresses.Theresultsreportedhereindicatethatgeotectonicstressremainsthemostsignificantfactorthatcontrolsb-variations.ItisfoundthatforearthquakeswithMwC7,anincreaseofabout0.20intheb-valueimpliesastressincreasethatwillresultinanearthquakewithamagnitudeoneunithigher.

  • 标签: 地震发生 幅度分布 周期性变化 B值 构造应力 时间窗口
  • 简介:DearContributors,ReadersandFriends:2011milestonesthetenthanniversaryoftheJournalofEarthquakeEngineeringandEngineeringVibration.wefirstwanttotakethisopportunitytoexpressourgratitudetothoseretiringmembersoftheEditorialBoardfortheirvaluablecontributionsinthepast,andtowelcomethosewhojoinedtheEditorialBoardthisyear.AswementionedinourmessagetoyouinDecember2010,effective20ll,thejournalisofficiallyco-sponsoredbytheHuixianEarthquake

  • 标签: 钢筋混凝土框架结构 建筑抗震设计规范 倒塌 学校 中国 评价
  • 简介:Inthispaper,basedonGansuDigitalSeismicNetworkdatasince1990,wecalculatedb-valueand⊿b-valueoftheneighborhoodareabeforethe2013Minxian-ZhangxianM_S6.6,earthquake.Theresultsshowthattheearthquakeoccurredatthemarginofthesignificantlylowerb-valueareainsoutheastofGansuandbeforetheearthquaketheneighborhoodareahadanobviouslyabnormal⊿b-value.Fromtheearthquakeandthespatialdistributionoflowb-value,theregionstillhasthepossibilityofgeneratingdangerousstrongearthquakes.

  • 标签: 数字地震台网 甘肃东南部 b值 异常 岷县 地震发生