简介:Rèsumèonnewmonograph“AdvanceinMathematicalSeismology”edit┐edbyJunjiKoyama&FengDeyiThenewmonograph“AdvanceinMathematicalSeismo...
简介:ResearchonnonlinearR/SmethodanditspplicationinearthquakepredictionBi-QuanWANG(王碧泉);Han-MingHUANG(黄汉明);Hong-ShunFAN(范洪顺);Chuen...
简介:过去常在在当前的地震代码采用的基于力量的设计过程决定力量减小因素的最重要的参数是结构的韧性。为在一个灵活基础上支持的结构,韧性因素能被基础依从影响。在当前的代码给的韧性因素主要被分配忽略这研究的目的是在像栈的结构的韧性因素上估计SSI现象的意义的SSI并且因此的效果。像栈的结构的使变形的配置就非线性的时刻弯曲关系而言作为横梁元素的一个集合被理想化,当一个线性摇摇摆的模型被实现为支持的土壤建模时。用一套人工的记录,重复了线性、非线性的分析被逐渐地在非线性的分析增加加速的紧张到首先在线性、非线性的分析钢让步被观察的水平和相应于栈倒塌的水平执行。无弹性、有弹性的电阻之间的差别以排水量韧性因素被确定了。结果显示基础灵活性能减少系统的韧性并且忽视这现象可以在灵活地支持的R/C像栈的结构的地震表演的预言导致错误的结论。
简介:Ingeneral,earthquakecyclerelatedtoearthquakefaultingcouldincludefourmajorprocesseswhichcouldbedescribedby(1)faultlocking,(2)self-accelerationornucleation(possibleforeshocks),(3)coseismicslip,and(4)post-stressrelaxationandafterslip.Asuddenstaticstresschange/perturbationinthesurroundingcrustcanadvance/delaythefaultinstabilityorfailuretimeandmodifyearthquakerates.Basedonasimpleone-dimensionalspring-sliderblockmodelwiththecombinationofrate-and-statedependentfrictionrelation,inthisstudy,wehaveapproximatelyderivedthesimpleanalyticalsolutionsofclockadvance/delayoffaultfailurescausedbyasuddenstaticCoulombstresschangeappliedinthedifferenttemporalevolutionperiodsduringanearthquakefaulting.Theresultshavebeenusedinthephysics-basedexplanationofdelayedcharacteristicearthquakeinParkfieldregion,California,inwhichthenextcharacteristicearthquakeofM6.0after1966occurredin2004insteadofaround1988accordingtoitscharacteristicreturnperiodof22years.Atthesametime,theanalyticalsolutionsalsoindicatethatthetimeadvance/delayinCoulombstresschangederivedbythedislocationmodelhasacertainlimitationandfundamentalflaw.Furthermore,wediscussedtheessentialdifferencebetweenrate-andstate-variableconstitutive(R–S)modelandCoulombstressmodelusedcommonlyincurrentearthquaketriggeringstudy,anddemonstratedthat,infact,theCoulombstressmodelcouldbeinvolvedintheR–Smodel.Theresults,wehaveobtainedinthisstudy,couldbeusedinthedevelopmentoftime-dependentfaultinteractionmodelandtheprobabilitycalculationrelatedtothetime-dependentandrenewalearthquakepredictionmodel.
简介:Intheestimationofseismictendency,usingGutenberg-Richter¢sb-valueandusingHurstexponentaretwocom-monlyusedmethods.Basedonthefractalgeometryofearthquaketimeseries,wepointoutthatthesetwomethodscorrelatetoeachother.IntheperspectiveoffractionalBrownianmotion(FBM),anearthquakesequencewithb>3/4andthatwithb<3/4havedifferentdynamicproperties.
简介:Basedonisotropiclinearporoelastictheoryandundertheundrainedcondition,wesummarizethreeequationsconnectingtheSkempton’scoefficientBwiththegroundwaterlevel.Afteranalysis,weproposeamethodtocalculatetheSkempton’scoefficientBaccordingtotherelationshipbetweenwaterlevelandtidalstrain.WiththismethodwecangetthevalueofBwithouttheearthquakeoccurrence,whichcanprovidethehighfrequencywavesforresearch.Besides,wecanalsogetthein-suitSkempton’scoefficientBwithouttheexperimentofrockphysics.Inaddition,weanalyzetheobserveddataofChangpingstationrecordedingroundwatermonitoringnetwork(abv.,GMN)beforeandaftertheWenchuanMS8.0withthismethod,andfindoutthere’saslightchangeofthevalueofBaftertheseismicwavespassedby,whichimpliesthatthepropagationofseismicwavesmayhavebroughtsomevariationstotheporoelasticmediumofthewell.
简介:Inthisstudy,weadoptanimprovedBayesianapproachbasedonfree-knotB-splinebasestostudythespatialandtemporaldistributionoftheb-value.SynthetictestsshowthattheimprovedBayesianapproachhasasuperiorperformancecomparedtotheBayesianapproachaswellasthewidelyusedmaximumlikelihoodestimation(MLE)methodinfittingtherealvariationofb-values.WethenapplytheimprovedBayesianapproachtoNorthChinaandfindthattheb-valuehasaclearrelevancetoseismicity.Temporalchangesofb-valuesarealsoinvestigatedintwospecificareasofNorthChina.Weinterpretsharpdecreasesintheb-valuesasusefulmessagesinearthquakehazardanalysis.
简介:TheeffectsofmagnituderoundingandofthepresenceofnoiseintheroundedmagnitudesontheestimationoftheGutenberg–Richterb-valueareexplored,andthewaystocorrectfortheseeffectsareproposed.Fortypicalvalues,b=1androundingintervalDM=0.1,theroundingerrorisapproximately-10-3anditcanbecorrectedtoanegligibleapproximately-10-5.Forthesametypicalvalues,theeffectofnoisecanbelarger,dependingonthecharacteristicsofthenoisedistribution;fornormallydistributednoisewithstandarddeviationr=0.1,thecorrectb-valuemaybeunderestimatedbyafactor*0.97.
简介:AmodelofseismicitywithfractalstructuresandapreliminarydiscussionontherelatiobetweenDandbvalueHat-KunJIANG(蒋海昆)andShou-ZhongDI...
简介:CumulativefrequencybvaluewithoutupperboundmagnitudeanditsregressiondeterminationJian-WenSHEN(沈建文)(SeismologicalBureauofAnhuiP...
简介:TheTanlu(Tancheng-Lujiang)faultisoneofthemajorstructuresineasternChina,whichcutsacrossdifferentblocksandcontrolsthetectonicactivity.UsingtheseismicdatafromtheChinaEarthquakeNetworksCenter,weinvestigatethespatialvariationsoftheb-valueintheDabie-Sulu(Jiangsu-Shandong)organicbeltbycalculatingtheb-valueofeachgrid(1°×1°)from1970to2010.Thestudyshowsthat:theb-valueissmallerintheTanlufaultanditsadjacentarea,whichmightsuggestthatthemajorearthquakerecurrenceperiodisrelativelylongduetothelowerfrequencyofsmallearthquakeactivity.InbothsidesofTanlufault,theb-valueishigherattheedgeofSulublockandtheeasternpartofDabieorogenicbelt.ThebvaluesarehigherinNorthChinacentralorogenicbelt,andsmallearthquakeactivitywhichoccurredalongthecentralorogenicbeltisfrequent.Additionally,combinedwithgeologicalandgeophysicalstudy,wefindthattheb-valuehasacertaincorrespondencerelationshipwiththelithologicdistribution,whichinformsusthatseismicactivityfeaturesarecloselyrelatedtotheinhomogeneousmediainthecrust.
简介:SeismicityoftheEarth(MC4.5)wascompiledfromNEIC,IRISandISCcataloguesandusedtocomputeb-valuebasedonvarioustimewindows.Itisfoundthatcontinuouscyclicb-variationsoccuronbothlongandshorttimescales,thelatterbeingofmuchhighervalueandsometimesinexcessof0.7oftheabsoluteb-value.Thesevariationsoccurnotonlyyearlyormonthly,butalsodaily.Beforetheoccurrenceoflargeearthquakes,b-valuesstartincreasingwithvariablegradientsthatareaffectedbyforeshocks.Insomecases,thegradientisreducedtozeroortoanegativevalueafewdaysbeforetheearthquakeoccurrence.Ingeneral,calculatedb-valuesattainmaxima1daybeforelargeearthquakesandminimasoonaftertheiroccurrence.Bothlinearregressionandmaximumlikelihoodmethodsgivecorrelatable,butvariableresults.Itisfoundthatanexpandingtimewindowtechniquefromafixedstartingpointismoreeffectiveinthestudyofb-variations.Thecalculatedb-variationsforthewholeEarth,itshemispheres,quadrantsandtheepicentralregionsofsomelargeearthquakesareofbothlocalandregionalcharacter,whichmayindicatethatinsuchcases,thegeodynamicprocessesactingwithinacertainregionhaveamuchregionaleffectwithintheEarth.Theb-variationshavelongbeenknowntovarywithanumberoflocalandregionalfactorsincludingtectonicstresses.Theresultsreportedhereindicatethatgeotectonicstressremainsthemostsignificantfactorthatcontrolsb-variations.ItisfoundthatforearthquakeswithMwC7,anincreaseofabout0.20intheb-valueimpliesastressincreasethatwillresultinanearthquakewithamagnitudeoneunithigher.
简介:DearContributors,ReadersandFriends:2011milestonesthetenthanniversaryoftheJournalofEarthquakeEngineeringandEngineeringVibration.wefirstwanttotakethisopportunitytoexpressourgratitudetothoseretiringmembersoftheEditorialBoardfortheirvaluablecontributionsinthepast,andtowelcomethosewhojoinedtheEditorialBoardthisyear.AswementionedinourmessagetoyouinDecember2010,effective20ll,thejournalisofficiallyco-sponsoredbytheHuixianEarthquake
简介:Inthispaper,basedonGansuDigitalSeismicNetworkdatasince1990,wecalculatedb-valueand⊿b-valueoftheneighborhoodareabeforethe2013Minxian-ZhangxianM_S6.6,earthquake.Theresultsshowthattheearthquakeoccurredatthemarginofthesignificantlylowerb-valueareainsoutheastofGansuandbeforetheearthquaketheneighborhoodareahadanobviouslyabnormal⊿b-value.Fromtheearthquakeandthespatialdistributionoflowb-value,theregionstillhasthepossibilityofgeneratingdangerousstrongearthquakes.