ANALYSIS OF CHANGING FLOOD CHARACTERISTICS IN SOUTH CHINA DURING THE RECENT 50 YEARS

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2005-02-12
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BasedonChina'smonthlyprecipitationdatafrom1950to2000andbyusingtheZ-index,4categoriesoffloodwereestimated.VariationandchangeoffloodinSouthChinawereanalyzedintermsofpercentageareasofflood.ThisstudyrevealsthatfloodareasinSouthChinahadaslightlydecreasingtrendinthelatest50years.Duringthewinterhalfyear,however,itdisplayedanincreasingtrend,especiallysincethe1990's.ItisalsofoundthatfloodareasdecreasedduringthesummerhalfyearfromApriltoSeptember,butincreasedduringsummer,especiallysincethe1990's.Intheannuallyfirstseasonofprecipitation,thefloodareahasadecreasingtrend,butithasastronglyincreasingtrendintheannuallysecondseason.Thegradualwettrendduringthewinter-halfyearresultsinwetterclimateconditionforSouthChina,whichwillbemorefavorableforspreadingsomeoftheepidemicpathogenicbacterium,cropdiseasesandinsectpests.