简介:SeismicityoftheEarth(MC4.5)wascompiledfromNEIC,IRISandISCcataloguesandusedtocomputeb-valuebasedonvarioustimewindows.Itisfoundthatcontinuouscyclicb-variationsoccuronbothlongandshorttimescales,thelatterbeingofmuchhighervalueandsometimesinexcessof0.7oftheabsoluteb-value.Thesevariationsoccurnotonlyyearlyormonthly,butalsodaily.Beforetheoccurrenceoflargeearthquakes,b-valuesstartincreasingwithvariablegradientsthatareaffectedbyforeshocks.Insomecases,thegradientisreducedtozeroortoanegativevalueafewdaysbeforetheearthquakeoccurrence.Ingeneral,calculatedb-valuesattainmaxima1daybeforelargeearthquakesandminimasoonaftertheiroccurrence.Bothlinearregressionandmaximumlikelihoodmethodsgivecorrelatable,butvariableresults.Itisfoundthatanexpandingtimewindowtechniquefromafixedstartingpointismoreeffectiveinthestudyofb-variations.Thecalculatedb-variationsforthewholeEarth,itshemispheres,quadrantsandtheepicentralregionsofsomelargeearthquakesareofbothlocalandregionalcharacter,whichmayindicatethatinsuchcases,thegeodynamicprocessesactingwithinacertainregionhaveamuchregionaleffectwithintheEarth.Theb-variationshavelongbeenknowntovarywithanumberoflocalandregionalfactorsincludingtectonicstresses.Theresultsreportedhereindicatethatgeotectonicstressremainsthemostsignificantfactorthatcontrolsb-variations.ItisfoundthatforearthquakeswithMwC7,anincreaseofabout0.20intheb-valueimpliesastressincreasethatwillresultinanearthquakewithamagnitudeoneunithigher.
简介:AstatisticalanalysisontheWenchuanaftershockactivitytriggeredbytidalforcesissystematicallystudiedbasedonSchusterstest,includingearthquakestriggeredbytidalforce,tidalstressandtidalcoulombfailurestress.TheresultsshowthatagroupofstrongaftershockswhichoccurredattheendofJulytoearlyAugustin2008atthenorthofWenchuanwereobviouslytriggeredbyearthtide,thesameconclusionisdrawnbySchusterssmoothtestofthetidalforce,tidalstressandtidalcoulombfailurestress.Inaddition,theWenchuanaftershockactivityisobviouslytriggeredbyfortnighttide.Inthenorth,theaftershockshappenedmorefrequentlyinthefirstandlastquartersofthemoon,andinthesouth,theaftershockshappenedmorefrequentlyinthefirstandlastquartersofthemoonandduringthefullmoon.
简介:Theauthorsstudiedtheseismicactivity,precursoryanomaliesandabnormalanimalbehaviorbeforetheApril14,2010MS7.1Yushuearthquake.AnalysisshowedthatanomalieswerenotrichbeforetheMS7.1Yushuearthquake,butprominentanomalieswereobserved,suchasthelongandmid-termtrendanomalycharacterizedbytheseismicquiescenceofMS6.0,MS5.0andMS4.0earthquakes,andtheanomaliesinprecursorobservationofsurfacewatertemperatureinYushuandDelinghaandelectromagneticmeasurementinPingan.Therewerealargenumberofanimalbehavioranomaliesappearingoneweekbeforetheearthquake.AnM4.7earthquakeoccurred130minutesbeforethemainshock.Inthispaper,westudiedthedynamicprocessoftheYushuearthquakepreparationusingtheearthquakefocalmechanismsolutionsontheBayanHarblockboundarysince1996.TheresultsshowthattheKalakunlunM7.1earthquakein1996,theManiM7.5earthquakeandtheYushuMS7.1earthquakehavethesamedynamicprocess.Longandmid-termtrendanomaliesmayberelatedtothedynamicsofevolutionofdifferentearthquakes.Thispaperalsodiscussestherecurrenceintervalofstrongearthquakes,foreshockidentificationandprecursorobservationoftheYushuMS7.1earthquake.