Numerical Experiments on the Spin-up Time for Seasonal-Scale Regional Climate Modeling

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摘要 Inthispaper,thenumericalexperimentsontheissueofspin-uptimeforseasonal-scaleregionalclimatemodelingwereconductedwiththenewlyRegionalClimateModel(RegCM3),inthecaseoftheabnormalclimateeventduringthesummerof1998inChina.Totesttheeffectofspin-uptimeontheregionalclimatesimulationresultsforsuchabnormalclimateevent,atotalof11experimentswereperformedwithdifferentspin-uptimefrom10daysto6months,respectively.Thesimulationresultsshowthat,forthemeteorologicalvariablesintheatmosphere,themodelwouldberunningin'climatemode'after4-8-dayspin-uptime,then,itisindependentofthespin-uptimebasically,andthesimulationerrorsaremainlycausedbythemodel'sfailureindescribingtheatmosphericprocessesoverthemodeldomain.Thisverifiesagainthattheregionalclimatemodelingisindeedalateralboundaryconditionproblemasdemonstratedbyearlierresearchwork.Thesimulatedmeanprecipitationrateovereachsubregionisnotsensitivetothespin-uptime,buttheprecipitationscenarioissomewhatdifferentfortheexperimentwithdifferentspin-uptime,whichshowsthatthereexiststheuncertaintyinthesimulationtoprecipitationscenario,andsuchauncertaintyexhibitsmoreovertheareaswhereheavyrainfallhappened.Generally,formonthly-scaleprecipitationsimulation,aspin-uptimeof1monthisenough,whereasaspin-uptimeof2monthsisbetterforseasonal-scaleone.Furthermore,therelationshipbetweentheprecipitationsimulationerrorandtheadvancement/withdrawalofEastAsiansummermonsoonwasanalyzed.Itisfoundthatthevariabilityofcorrelationcoefficientforprecipitationismoresignificantovertheareaswherethesummermonsoonispredominant.Therefore,themodel'scapabilityinreproducingprecipitationfeaturesisrelatedtotheheavyrainfallprocessesassociatedwiththeadvancement/withdrawalofEastAsiansummermonsoon,whichsuggeststhatitisnecessarytodevelopamorereliableparameterizationsch
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出处 《气象学报:英文版》 2007年4期
出版日期 2007年04月14日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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